Poll shows Bolsonaro with slight lead over Lula ahead of Brazilian run-off

Poll shows right-wing candidate with two percent advantage over Lula going into second round of voting on October 25.Published On 15 Oct 202615 Oct 2026A new poll has found that right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro maintains a slight lead over President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva as the two candidates seek an edge ahead of Brazil’s tense October 25 run-off vote.A Quaest poll released on Thursday found that Bolsonaro, son of former far-right President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 46 percent of the vote compared to Lula’s 44 percent, a difference within the two-percent margin of error.Recommended Stories list of 3 itemslist 1 of 3Why Flavio Bolsonaro outperformed the polls in Brazil’s electionlist 2 of 3Will Brazil’s Lula halt the right-wing wave sweeping Latin America?list 3 of 3Brazil’s presidential race: Three key takeaways from the first roundend of listBolsonaro outperformed expectations during the first round of voting on October 4, beating Lula by less than two points despite most polls suggesting that the leftist president was on track for a marginal first-round win. Neither candidate secured a majority that would have avoided a run-off.The poll, the first released by Quaest s...