Latest poll shows Bolsonaro maintaining edge over Lula in Brazil run-off

Experts still consider race a toss up despite slate of polls showing right-wing senator leading left-wing president.Published On 16 Oct 202616 Oct 2026Another poll has shown leftist Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva trailing behind right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro in the October 25 run-off election.The survey, released by CNT/MDA on Friday, showed Bolsonaro taking 46.8 percent of the vote, compared with 45.9 percent for Lula.Recommended Stories list of 3 itemslist 1 of 3The media battle behind Brazil’s electionlist 2 of 3A political dynasty? Why the Bolsonaro family dominates Brazil’s right winglist 3 of 3Brazilian government calls for probe into US funding of far-right causesend of listThe latest projection comes a day after a Quaest poll found Bolsonaro carrying 46 percent of the vote, compared with Lula’s 44 percent. A separate Datafolha poll found Bolsonaro taking 47 percent of the vote against Lula’s 45, down from 49 percent a week earlier.All three polls currently fall within a 2 percent margin of error, meaning the race is still considered by many experts to be a toss-up. Still, they underscore an uncomfortable political climate for Lula, who had a month ago b...