So what effect is all this having on the wider region?Firstly, it is important to note that two countries previously wracked by ruinous civil wars – Iraq and Syria – are now largely peaceful and stable, at least compared to where they were. The Gaza War is technically in a ceasefire, although Gazans continue to be killed in air strikes, while Israeli settlements, illegal under international law, are proliferating across the occupied West Bank. Israel's war with Hezbollah in Lebanon is on hold as the two countries continue negotiations.But right now it is the Gulf and the Arabian Peninsula that are worrying analysts the most. Trump has got himself into a war with Iran that he cannot seem to find a way out of. Night after night of US airstrikes are failing to force Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to give up control of the Strait of Hormuz. With every air strike, the IRGC hits back at those neighbouring Arab states that host US bases, trying to drive a wedge between them and Washington.From an economic perspective, the clock is ticking. Every day that Gulf oil, gas, fertiliser and other essential products cannot get through the Strait of Hormuz to markets puts pressure on glob...

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