YESTERDAY’S fresh market slump on Wall Street reflects a realisation that — compared with the start of last week — the global economy is in a much more perilous state.
Yes, Donald Trump backed away from a full-blown trade war when he chose to pause the most punitive tariffs on all countries, bar China, for 90 days.
But there is still a ten per cent levy on exports to the US from almost every country in the world, suppressing trade and hurting supply chains.
There is also huge uncertainty about the threat of the hefty tariffs being reasserted in 90 days, or Trump flip-flopping once again and making tariffs more severe.
This makes it impossible for companies to invest, make decisions or even forecast their profits.
Meanwhile, the world’s first and second biggest economies are in a tariffs death match.
READ MORE ON TARIFF CHAOS
There is simply no way an effective block on trade between the US and China will not suppress worldwide growth, including in the UK.
Trump’s decision to put all countries on a ten per cent baseline tariff has also erased the UK’s competitive edge versus the EU — which was on a 20 per cent rate.
The next time the all-powerful Office for Budget Responsibility takes a stab at predicting our future economic growth, you can bet your bottom dollar it will be a downgrade.
And, in the worst case scenario, that will mean the PM and his Chancellor will face a hideous political dilemma to balance the books — more tax rises or more benefits and spending cuts.
UK investors are also much worse off than before Trump’s Liberation Day blitz.
Yesterday, London’s FTSE 100 gained 3.04 per cent, France’s CAC 40 shot up 3.83 per cent and Germany’s DAX rose by 4.53 per cent.
Trump says yesterday 'biggest day in history,' Secretary of commerce Howard Lutnick says potential deals are 'incredible'
But the bounce-back has not repaired all the damage inflicted in the past few days.
While the FTSE 100 was up £57.6billion yesterday, it is still down £171.7billion, or eight per cent, since the onslaught began on April 2.
‘BUY NOW’ PROBE CALL
DONALD Trump is facing calls for an inquiry into market manipulation after he posted “THIS IS A GREAT TIME TO BUY” just hours before he sent stock markets rocketing.
The President posted the message on his Truth Social account on Wednesday afternoon while global money markets were in a rout.
The note was signed off with his initials, DJT, which are also the same ticker for his media group which owns Truth Social. Four hours later, he sparked the biggest stock market rally in 16 years by announcing he would pause his trade tariffs.
Shares in Trump Media and Technology Group rose by 22 per cent, while his billionaire pal Elon Musk’s Tesla enjoyed a similar rebound.
Those who followed his advice and quickly bought low and sold at the peak made a huge profit. Mr Trump bragged his billionaire broker Charles Schwab had “made two-and-a-half billion today” on the revival.
The number of Google searches for “insider trading” rocketed by 85 per cent yesterday.
Ex-White House ethics lawyer Richard Painter said securities law banned trading on insider knowledge or enabling others to do so, warning Mr Trump: “He better be careful.”