Brazil’s Lula and Flavio Bolsonaro still essentially tied in new poll

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva is up 2 points, but that’s still within the poll’s margin of error.Published On 25 Sep 202625 Sep 2026⁠Brazilian President ⁠Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has maintained a two-percentage-point lead over Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, ⁠his main challenger, in a potential run-off ahead of October’s presidential election, a Datafolha poll has shown.In poll results released Thursday, Lula would receive 47 percent of the vote compared with 45 percent for Bolsonaro in a simulated run-off. A previous Datafolha poll last week had ‌Lula leading Bolsonaro by 46 percent to 44 percent.The result also represents a technical tie as it falls within the poll’s margin of error of 2 percentage points.In a first-round scenario, Lula leads with ⁠40 percent of the vote, followed ⁠by Bolsonaro (36 percent), Augusto Cury (5 percent), Ronaldo Caiado (4 percent) and Renan Santos (3 percent).The previous poll showed the leftist president with 39 percent against the ⁠right-wing senator’s 36 percent.Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son of ⁠former President Jair Bolsonaro, who ⁠is serving a 27-year prison sentence for attempting to overturn his 2022 election defeat to Lula.Lula is seeking a four...